Showing posts with label atheism. Show all posts
Showing posts with label atheism. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Article: Undiscriminating Skepticism

Again, something I ran across after googling tribal signalling.

Main thesis: skepticism as tribal signalling versus rational, thought-out skepticism based on facts.

The problem is that most people have neither the trained intelligence nor the time/energy to learn enough about a subject and think deeply about it to have "discriminating skepticism."

We rely on opinions expressed by people we think meet the above criteria. This is why "talking points" exist. People who are otherwise ignorant of a topic can read a summary of the topic by a source accepted by the tribe. They can then signal their tribe that they are members by repeating them.
I'll conclude with some simple and non-trustworthy indicators that the skeptic is just filling in a cheap and largely automatic mockery template: 
1. The "skeptic" opens by remarking about the crazy true believers and wishful thinkers who believe in X, where there seem to be a surprising number of physicists making up the population of those wacky cult victims who believe in X.  (The physicist-test is not an infallible indicator of rightness or even non-stupidity, but it's a filter that rapidly picks up on, say, strong AI, molecular nanotechnology, cryonics, the many-worlds interpretation, and so on.)  
The amusing thing about this and the other 2 indicators is that they are true about Catastrophic Anthropogenic Global Warming skepticism. For example, it is well known that a significant proportion of physicists are skeptics and meet the other two indicators as well.


Wednesday, June 24, 2015

The Pope's Atheist

Article: The Scientific Pantheist Who Advises Pope Francis

The "scientific pantheist" is Hans Schellnhuber. He is actually an atheist (which raises questions about either his integrity, advising a Pope or the Pope's gullibility in chosing a sworn enemy as an advisor). His beliefs are sometimes called, "scientific pantheism," however.

The article mentions the Gaia Principle, or Gaia Hypothesis. The orginal Gaia Hypothesis held that, because earth's climate has been stable (swinging from cool to warm) over billions of year, it must have feedback loops maintaining the climate, just like a living organism has feedback loops maintaining a stable internal environment.

In other words, it was an analogy.

However, over time, the Gaia Principle, or "theory," became less of a scientific analogy and more of a mystic, "Gaia, the Mother Earth is a living thing" crackpot idea.

Schellnhuber is of the latter variety.

Read the article: the earth has a "geophysiology." The earth is "cognizant."

Twenty years ago, having a crackpot like Schellnhuber advise you would immediately revoke any and all credibility.

If you read his wikipedia page, he sounds legitimate.

It is as if a prominent Presidential candidate announces that he has Immanuel Velikovsky advising him on astronomy.

Monday, July 14, 2014

IQ, Belief in God, and Atheism.

Define terms: Here: theists (or "believers") are people who believe in a personal god (that is, god, God, YHWH, Allah, etc.) Athesists do not. This does not include people who believe in "a universal spirit or higher power" or agnostics.

Article: Pew Survey: Scientists and Belief
http://www.pewforum.org/2009/11/05/scientists-and-belief/

According to the 2009 Pew Research Center poll , 83% of the general population believe in God, while 33% of scientists do. [Discussion of the beliefs of scientists is based on a survey of members of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), which partnered with the Pew Research Center on the survey.]

Oddly enough, these numbers appear not to have shifted much over the past 100 years.

Biggest hit: Evangelical Protestants are 28% of the general public and 4% of scientists. My guess is that Biblical literalism is the biggest hang up. However, I've known 2 geologists that are creationists (small "c").

Second biggest hit: Richard Dawkins who claims that only 4% of scientists are believers.

Article: Of 10 highest IQ's on earth, at least 8 are Theists, at least 6 are Christians

These are people who have both publicly known high IQ's and who have made some statement about whether or not they are atheists. Because it is a somewhat self-selected group, it hard to tell how representative it is.

The list does not include Marilyn vos Savant. She was, at one point, considered to have the highest IQ at about 228. I was unable to find anything about her views except in a roundabout way. And from what little that indicates, I would hesitate to draw a conclusion about her beliefs.

Article: Mailvox: the distribution of atheist intelligence

Vox provides several charts derived from the 2012 General Social Survey. The distribution in IQ for theists follows a bell curve. That is, believers are found at all IQ's. Or, another way of putting it, for believers, IQ has no effect on belief.

On the other hand, atheism has a very different curve. Atheism is correlated with both high and low intelligence. That is, atheists tend to be concentrated at the extremes of intelligence. There are relatively few atheists in the normal range (IQ of 85-115).

Even still, because so many more people in the US are believers, there are 10X as many belivers at the high end of IQ than atheists. 
This amused me while playing around with the GSS. Of the dumbest strata of college graduates, nearly half, 46 percent, are atheists. That's twice as many as all types of theists combined. We finally have an explanation for the Richard Dawkins fans.
I used Google to try to find statistics about Mensa and religious affiliation. My Google-fu is poor, although I did find two sources, of unknown trustworthiness, each saying that about 45-50% of Mensa members are Christian and 2-3% are Jews. [Qualifications for Mensa include being in the top 2% of standardized intelligence tests.]